Title : from The Market Ticker - no more virus BS
link : from The Market Ticker - no more virus BS
from The Market Ticker - no more virus BS
Enough Of The Virus Bull****
Why does Fauci think that people "don't trust" science and refuse to listen to authority, as he recently said?
Is it because he, personally, has participated in a lie along with Trump and the media, and so have you?
Oh, and he still is participating in and promoting that lie -- for example:
Let's recap.
The original statement with Trump's "15 days to slow the spread" was was clearly stated in the title of the action:
It was intended to flatten the rate of infections; nobody made any claim originally anywhere that we could actually prevent infections.
That's because you can't prevent a highly-mobile, aerosol-spread virus that is materially infectious from non-symptomatic individuals from spreading through the population. For an infection that is not materially infectious unless you're symptomatic you can successfully, given enough effort, trace and quarantine people before they infect someone else, but for any agent that is infectious before symptoms become apparent it's flat-out impossible to do once the first few infected people get into the population at-large; you will miss too many potential transmissions and some of them will occur.
A slowed infection rate does not prevent any infections at all; it simply spreads them over time. If that prevents Joe with a heart attack from finding a full hospital and thus he lives where he would otherwise die then that might be worth it.
But that's what we were trading off; we were never trading off infections and deaths from the virus itself.
In the context of deaths note that approximately 2.7 million Americans die every year from various causes. This is the lens through which we must process all claims of death "from" or "with" this virus. A 5% or 10% increase in said death rate is bad, but it's not catastrophic. Second, we must separate out the pulled forward deaths from caused deaths -- that is, those that occur now but were going to occur in the next couple of months anyway versus those that occur years or decades before they otherwise would. And third, we must face our personal responsibility when it comes to the ability to change outcomes for ourselves.
During my April 28th podcast (fast forward to about 7 minutes if you don't want to listen to the whole thing) I pointed out for what was probably the 10th time since I have started covering this virus as a journalist that any expectation of permanent immunity has no scientific basis whether through infection or vaccine when it comes to coronaviruses.
This in turn means that the lockdowns and screaming Karen nonsense is stupid; we are all going to get the bug and after a year or so we can all probably get it again!
There is nothing we can do about that and there never was once we let it through our border, which was inevitable given that even today in the face of this pandemic we have refused to slam closed the border with Mexico, among others. Only 100% isolation with a hard 14-day quarantine for anyone entering into the United States for any reason whatsoever had any possibility of working to stop the virus from getting in here and exactly nobody from either side of the aisle was willing to do that, even though Trump did have the authority to do so.
For those who think any lesser action would prevent the virus from getting "out of control" may I remind you that there are tribes that have essentially no outside contact in the Amazon that have had this bug rip through them. How'd they get it? Do you really think we can do better at preventing transmission than a nearly-100% isolated small group of individuals living off the land? Never mind that very same model -- complete isolation -- was attempted with the Spanish Flu pandemic on multiple island nations and failed.
Further, "eradicating" the bug is, in the context of history, impossible. There are exactly two viruses we have eradicated in the history of mankind and only one infected humans. That's right -- the count is two. This will not be #3. Beyond the statistics there is the fact that to eradicate a virus you must not only stop all transmission you must also get rid of all repositories. Given that this virus can infect felines, ferrets and other animals forget it folks -- eradication is not going to happen.
We all have to deal with the reality of this bug as I have pointed out since this began: We have a large degree of personal control when it comes to outcome and personal risk of infection, but very little when it comes to exposure. Your best personal mitigation with regard to infection is lots of hand-washing with soap and water. Sanitizers are next to worthless; better than nothing, perhaps, but not much better. When I see them sitting on the bar and the restroom is right around the corner the person who grabs one that was just touched by someone else likely increased their risk of infection! But even with the most-fastidious hand-washing unless you are going to avoid all contact with any surface or person and never get within 100' of anyone under any circumstance your ability to avoid infection is simply not going to be good enough.
Masks on a "mass basis" among the population when worn for material periods of time by unskilled individuals are next to worthless and may even make infection more likely rather than less. This is science, not conjecture. Consider the following when it comes to any sort of filtration media -- including masks.
In exactly the same way that bandana or mask over your face is contaminated to an insane degree and as soon as you touch it which you have to do to adjust it or remove it, since it's permeable which means the vapor in your breath along with whatever might be in it migrates freely from one side to the other, you just contaminated your hands and anything you touch at a rate several hundred times more-severely than were you to just breathe!
In other words not only do masks not work since they are rarely fitted properly and remain so over their time in use nor are the people using them ever going to practice proper procedure when donning, doffing and adjusting them they are likely to concentrate both any germs you have and those of everyone around you dramatically and, by a factor of hundreds or more, increase the concentration of contamination of your hands and face and from there you will infect both yourself and others through either personal or surface contact.
The surgeon wears a mask because during the operation he might infect you otherwise. But that risk is specific to you and the source is specific to his lungs, nose and mouth as the air in the room is at least allegedly supposed to be sterile along with everything else in the room and so are his hands and arms, which he has scrubbed and once having done so he does not touch his face or said mask; when he leaves the OR he can't infect you anymore and the nurse he sees outside in the hall isn't particularly at risk. His doffing and donning procedure are well-practiced and work (except when he blows it, and said people in the hospital do frequently -- 100,000 Americans a year die from hospital-acquired infections!) for the specific purpose of attempting to protect you. The same is entirely inadequate to protect everyone else in the building which is why despite having masks and so-called procedures to prevent cross-infection health care workers and those in nursing homes got hammered by this bug; said masks did nothing to stop it because, by the science, without strict protocols which were not enforced and still aren't being enforced today they couldn't!
This is not only science it's obvious science and you can prove it to yourself by going and having a look at your home HVAC unit's filter. Pull it out and have a look at it. In short the screaming Karen nonsense about masks is unsupportable by actual science, that's trivially proved and everyone in so-called "authority" pushing same knows it.
So what can you do to actually change the risk of infection and outcomes for you personally?
Realistically, only the following:
Wash your damn hands frequently with soap and water. DO NOT USE SANITIZER AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO HANDWASHING; it's nearly worthless AND the last person to touch the container may have contaminated the container making it worse than doing nothing
and
Get into the best physiological condition possible given what we know has a major impact on outcomes so when you get infected (not if) you have a mild case instead of getting severely ill or dying.
YOU HAD FIVE MONTHS TO GET YOUR ACT TOGETHER WITH REGARD TO YOUR PHYSIOLOGICAL CONDITION FROM WHEN I FIRST RAISED HELL ABOUT THIS -- NOW YOU HAVE THREE MONTHS AND THIS BUG IS NOT GOING AWAY.
WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO LIVE WITH IT INTO THE INDEFINITE FUTURE WHETHER WE LIKE IT OR NOT.
You've squandered nearly half of that time to the fall, when flu season will kick up once again bitching about masks and lockdowns, neither of which will eliminate this virus or materially change your risk of getting it.
Squander the rest if you'd like; it's your call and your potential death being toyed with here.
You're likely going to get this bug. I'm likely going to get this bug. I may have already had it in January and my antibody response was either too low to be detectable or by the time I could scrounge up an antibody test it had already waned to below the threshold that registers "positive."
The so-called "experts" all told you this at the outset before Covid-19 was turned into a political football.
The facts didn't change; viruses don't give a crap about politics.
In addition we knew in February and early March that there was some form of cross-immunity. We knew this because two people in the same 10x10 cabin on a cruise ship, quarantined together, where one gets sick and the other does not is implausible yet it happened in multiple cases. Both people share the same air supply, neither can isolate from the other, they're a married couple and there's no way to avoid inhaling what the other exhales. For a virus extruded in the breath of someone who has it you're going to get exposed if in the same confined-space room for a long enough period of time. Period. Yet the second person neither had antibodies or active virus. Therefore they were immune, period, but we do not know why. We do not know what percentage of people are immune due to said cross-immunity nor can we test for it since we have no idea what specific antibody or combination of them produces that immunity. We still don't know what the cross-immunity antigens are and we've spent exactly zero effort trying to find them which is outrageous given that some or all of them might be entirely-benign bugs such as those that produce nothing more than an ordinary cold.
We still have reason to believe that anything that tampers with ACE/ARB in the body is dangerous. If you still are using aspirin and naproxen for various maladies when you have an alternative or don't really need it given what's known in this regard you're nuts. I'm not a big fan of acetaminophen (Tylenol) given the risk of liver toxicity (small but real) however it certainly appears to be safer than the other two in that regard. If you're on any of the various prescription drugs that are all considered "very safe" but which modify those aspects of physiology given what we know about how this virus invades the body in my opinion you're crazy unless there are no other good substitutes that your doctor can prescribe and the risk of death from not being on them exceeds the risk of death due to coronavirus.
A huge percentage of American adults are fat and virtually everyone who is fat is also insulin-compromised. The data says that newly-diagnosed or uncontrolled diabetics have extraordinarily higher risks of serious complications or death from Covid-19; someone who is a long-term diabetic and has it under good control (their A1c is <6 .5="" a="" em="" has="" nbsp="">much more-moderate </6>
but still-higher risk. Are you overweight or obese? That is 100% within your ability to change and from the first day you get the fast carbs out of your diet your insulin and glucose profile improves. You've spent two months bitching instead of changing what goes down your pie hole when doing the latter can materially change the risk of you becoming severely ill or dying.We have learned over time that this virus in many ways is like polio. Likely in more ways than we're admitting, since the correlations still lie with fecal:oral transmission being a primary vector for Covid-19 yet exactly zero people are talking about that even though it has been scientifically proved to not only show up individually in people's feces when infected but MIT has detected the virus in municipal sewage flows which is very solid evidence that this is not an isolated or rare occurrence -- and that it is likely a massive transmission vector. I remind you that polio, which is almost-exclusively transmitted via feces, has an R0 of FIVE. Any bug that expresses in feces, from a historical standpoint, has proved to be extraordinarily contagious. ****-eating, in short, is a great way to get sick and the rate of accidental ****-eating is astounding. I pointed to this when the virus first appeared as a likely vector and not only has there been zero evidence to change my mind all of the evidence points toward reinforcing this vector as a primary means of transmission.Is it because he, personally, has participated in a lie along with Trump and the media, and so have you?
Oh, and he still is participating in and promoting that lie -- for example:
He also defended the stay-at-home orders as having saved "millions of lives," and drew attention to anti-science bias and the disproportionate impact the virus is having on the black community.That's an admission of a lie -- in print. When you're an alleged scientist you only get one. As soon as you lie the first time everything else that comes out of your mouth is no longer entitled to be treated as "science" since science never includes lies.
Let's recap.
The original statement with Trump's "15 days to slow the spread" was was clearly stated in the title of the action:
It was intended to flatten the rate of infections; nobody made any claim originally anywhere that we could actually prevent infections.
That's because you can't prevent a highly-mobile, aerosol-spread virus that is materially infectious from non-symptomatic individuals from spreading through the population. For an infection that is not materially infectious unless you're symptomatic you can successfully, given enough effort, trace and quarantine people before they infect someone else, but for any agent that is infectious before symptoms become apparent it's flat-out impossible to do once the first few infected people get into the population at-large; you will miss too many potential transmissions and some of them will occur.
A slowed infection rate does not prevent any infections at all; it simply spreads them over time. If that prevents Joe with a heart attack from finding a full hospital and thus he lives where he would otherwise die then that might be worth it.
But that's what we were trading off; we were never trading off infections and deaths from the virus itself.
In the context of deaths note that approximately 2.7 million Americans die every year from various causes. This is the lens through which we must process all claims of death "from" or "with" this virus. A 5% or 10% increase in said death rate is bad, but it's not catastrophic. Second, we must separate out the pulled forward deaths from caused deaths -- that is, those that occur now but were going to occur in the next couple of months anyway versus those that occur years or decades before they otherwise would. And third, we must face our personal responsibility when it comes to the ability to change outcomes for ourselves.
During my April 28th podcast (fast forward to about 7 minutes if you don't want to listen to the whole thing) I pointed out for what was probably the 10th time since I have started covering this virus as a journalist that any expectation of permanent immunity has no scientific basis whether through infection or vaccine when it comes to coronaviruses.
This in turn means that the lockdowns and screaming Karen nonsense is stupid; we are all going to get the bug and after a year or so we can all probably get it again!
There is nothing we can do about that and there never was once we let it through our border, which was inevitable given that even today in the face of this pandemic we have refused to slam closed the border with Mexico, among others. Only 100% isolation with a hard 14-day quarantine for anyone entering into the United States for any reason whatsoever had any possibility of working to stop the virus from getting in here and exactly nobody from either side of the aisle was willing to do that, even though Trump did have the authority to do so.
For those who think any lesser action would prevent the virus from getting "out of control" may I remind you that there are tribes that have essentially no outside contact in the Amazon that have had this bug rip through them. How'd they get it? Do you really think we can do better at preventing transmission than a nearly-100% isolated small group of individuals living off the land? Never mind that very same model -- complete isolation -- was attempted with the Spanish Flu pandemic on multiple island nations and failed.
Further, "eradicating" the bug is, in the context of history, impossible. There are exactly two viruses we have eradicated in the history of mankind and only one infected humans. That's right -- the count is two. This will not be #3. Beyond the statistics there is the fact that to eradicate a virus you must not only stop all transmission you must also get rid of all repositories. Given that this virus can infect felines, ferrets and other animals forget it folks -- eradication is not going to happen.
We all have to deal with the reality of this bug as I have pointed out since this began: We have a large degree of personal control when it comes to outcome and personal risk of infection, but very little when it comes to exposure. Your best personal mitigation with regard to infection is lots of hand-washing with soap and water. Sanitizers are next to worthless; better than nothing, perhaps, but not much better. When I see them sitting on the bar and the restroom is right around the corner the person who grabs one that was just touched by someone else likely increased their risk of infection! But even with the most-fastidious hand-washing unless you are going to avoid all contact with any surface or person and never get within 100' of anyone under any circumstance your ability to avoid infection is simply not going to be good enough.
Masks on a "mass basis" among the population when worn for material periods of time by unskilled individuals are next to worthless and may even make infection more likely rather than less. This is science, not conjecture. Consider the following when it comes to any sort of filtration media -- including masks.
- Filters by their nature trap and thus concentrate that which they filter. Your oil and air filter on your car trap dirt and such in the oil and air your car engine uses, respectively. If you remove the air filter in your car, or the cabin filter for your car's AC system, or for that matter the air filter in your HVAC unit in your house, you will notice that after a while it's quite dirty. You can see the concentration of dirt in the filter where in the air you cannot; that's inherently how a filter -- ANY FILTER -- works.
- Contact with the media where the filtration has taken place exposes you to hundreds or thousands of times more of whatever is filtered than exposure to the raw air or fluid. The average person "at rest" has a respiration rate of about 15-20 breaths per minute and double that or more under any sort of exercise. This means that in 1 hour of "mask wearing" you have concentrated whatever was in the environment and went through the mask into and out of your lungs by a factor of 600 and should you come into contact with the exterior of that mask your hands now have 600 times whatever was in the air, on an average basis, on them as well. In addition the inside of the mask has 600 times whatever was in one average breath on it too so if you had something in your lungs while in the room or outside air it would either dissipate or settle to the floor on the inside of the mask it has instead been concentrated by that same 600 times!
- Filters that are not dense enough to trap all of the particles or which do not fit with a 100% seal bypass some of what is to be filtered through them and deposit some of that around the area of the filter and on the other side of the media. This same concentration effect occurs with those particles as well! For a "cloth covering" such as a bandana or other similar item the level of bypass in both directions and thus the immediate concentration and danger from same is extraordinarily high. A mask that "leaks" around the edges will concentrate and deposit on your face around said edge anything in your breath where it can and will be, once again, picked up your hands.
In exactly the same way that bandana or mask over your face is contaminated to an insane degree and as soon as you touch it which you have to do to adjust it or remove it, since it's permeable which means the vapor in your breath along with whatever might be in it migrates freely from one side to the other, you just contaminated your hands and anything you touch at a rate several hundred times more-severely than were you to just breathe!
In other words not only do masks not work since they are rarely fitted properly and remain so over their time in use nor are the people using them ever going to practice proper procedure when donning, doffing and adjusting them they are likely to concentrate both any germs you have and those of everyone around you dramatically and, by a factor of hundreds or more, increase the concentration of contamination of your hands and face and from there you will infect both yourself and others through either personal or surface contact.
The surgeon wears a mask because during the operation he might infect you otherwise. But that risk is specific to you and the source is specific to his lungs, nose and mouth as the air in the room is at least allegedly supposed to be sterile along with everything else in the room and so are his hands and arms, which he has scrubbed and once having done so he does not touch his face or said mask; when he leaves the OR he can't infect you anymore and the nurse he sees outside in the hall isn't particularly at risk. His doffing and donning procedure are well-practiced and work (except when he blows it, and said people in the hospital do frequently -- 100,000 Americans a year die from hospital-acquired infections!) for the specific purpose of attempting to protect you. The same is entirely inadequate to protect everyone else in the building which is why despite having masks and so-called procedures to prevent cross-infection health care workers and those in nursing homes got hammered by this bug; said masks did nothing to stop it because, by the science, without strict protocols which were not enforced and still aren't being enforced today they couldn't!
This is not only science it's obvious science and you can prove it to yourself by going and having a look at your home HVAC unit's filter. Pull it out and have a look at it. In short the screaming Karen nonsense about masks is unsupportable by actual science, that's trivially proved and everyone in so-called "authority" pushing same knows it.
So what can you do to actually change the risk of infection and outcomes for you personally?
Realistically, only the following:
Wash your damn hands frequently with soap and water. DO NOT USE SANITIZER AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO HANDWASHING; it's nearly worthless AND the last person to touch the container may have contaminated the container making it worse than doing nothing
and
Get into the best physiological condition possible given what we know has a major impact on outcomes so when you get infected (not if) you have a mild case instead of getting severely ill or dying.
YOU HAD FIVE MONTHS TO GET YOUR ACT TOGETHER WITH REGARD TO YOUR PHYSIOLOGICAL CONDITION FROM WHEN I FIRST RAISED HELL ABOUT THIS -- NOW YOU HAVE THREE MONTHS AND THIS BUG IS NOT GOING AWAY.
WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO LIVE WITH IT INTO THE INDEFINITE FUTURE WHETHER WE LIKE IT OR NOT.
You've squandered nearly half of that time to the fall, when flu season will kick up once again bitching about masks and lockdowns, neither of which will eliminate this virus or materially change your risk of getting it.
Squander the rest if you'd like; it's your call and your potential death being toyed with here.
You're likely going to get this bug. I'm likely going to get this bug. I may have already had it in January and my antibody response was either too low to be detectable or by the time I could scrounge up an antibody test it had already waned to below the threshold that registers "positive."
The so-called "experts" all told you this at the outset before Covid-19 was turned into a political football.
The facts didn't change; viruses don't give a crap about politics.
In addition we knew in February and early March that there was some form of cross-immunity. We knew this because two people in the same 10x10 cabin on a cruise ship, quarantined together, where one gets sick and the other does not is implausible yet it happened in multiple cases. Both people share the same air supply, neither can isolate from the other, they're a married couple and there's no way to avoid inhaling what the other exhales. For a virus extruded in the breath of someone who has it you're going to get exposed if in the same confined-space room for a long enough period of time. Period. Yet the second person neither had antibodies or active virus. Therefore they were immune, period, but we do not know why. We do not know what percentage of people are immune due to said cross-immunity nor can we test for it since we have no idea what specific antibody or combination of them produces that immunity. We still don't know what the cross-immunity antigens are and we've spent exactly zero effort trying to find them which is outrageous given that some or all of them might be entirely-benign bugs such as those that produce nothing more than an ordinary cold.
We still have reason to believe that anything that tampers with ACE/ARB in the body is dangerous. If you still are using aspirin and naproxen for various maladies when you have an alternative or don't really need it given what's known in this regard you're nuts. I'm not a big fan of acetaminophen (Tylenol) given the risk of liver toxicity (small but real) however it certainly appears to be safer than the other two in that regard. If you're on any of the various prescription drugs that are all considered "very safe" but which modify those aspects of physiology given what we know about how this virus invades the body in my opinion you're crazy unless there are no other good substitutes that your doctor can prescribe and the risk of death from not being on them exceeds the risk of death due to coronavirus.
A huge percentage of American adults are fat and virtually everyone who is fat is also insulin-compromised. The data says that newly-diagnosed or uncontrolled diabetics have extraordinarily higher risks of serious complications or death from Covid-19; someone who is a long-term diabetic and has it under good control (their A1c is <6 .5="" a="" em="" has="" nbsp="">much more-moderate </6>
Like polio a significant percentage, in fact most people who get it have a mild or modest flu-like illness and recover without further incident.
Like polio some percentage develop a secondary profile of infection that does them serious harm or kills them.
In polio's case those who get the secondary profile suffer an attack on their nervous system and are either killed or paralyzed. In Covid-19s case that secondary attack appears to come in the form of a vascular disease and attacks the blood and circulatory system, with the most-common characterization being immune system dysregulation (e.g. cytokine storm.) Attempting to treat low oxygen perfusion numbers (SpO2) with intubation fails to work for that reason; you're treating the wrong thing, you wind up causing additional trauma to the lungs, you're further stimulating an already-overactive and dysfunctional immune response by intubating the person and you kill them as a result. We knew that intubation didn't work in February and early March yet we "demanded" tens of thousands of ventilators at the cost of billions of dollars and killed a huge number of people by using them -- and both Republicans (including our President) and Democrats (e.g. Cuomo) participated in and caused this mass-manslaughter. Trump in fact bragged about his "ventilator surge" last night. That was asinine and we knew vents didn't work for this condition right up front yet we did it anyway. People should go to prison for that outrage; it is likely that a third of all who died and perhaps more were killed by the doctors and hospitals through this known-worthless "treatment", not the virus.
Just recently we had "breathlessly reported" that a common and inexpensive steroid was effective in a large percentage of people with severe disease who were not expected to survive. We knew this in April; there were multiple hospitals where D-dimer abnormalities on admission were being used for Covid-19 classification because of delays in receiving test results, and yet that those patients had Covid-19 was later confirmed with near-100% accuracy. D-dimer is a byproduct of blood clot degradation; in other words an abnormal reading is indicative of blood and circulatory disorders, not direct viral infection. We had reports of this abnormality in publications on Promed the first week of February and in the middle of March we were discussing this very fact on my forum in threads in "The Bar."
THIS WAS KNOWN PATHOLOGY BEFORE NEARLY EVERYONE DIED YET WE KEPT SHOVING PEOPLE ON VENTS AND KILLING THEM.
There is a medical group in Norfolk (and another in California) that have developed nearly 100% effective management protocols for this disease. They are being ignored; you will not find a single mention of them on the CDC's page. While their protocols have evolved somewhat over time the core of their recommendations and experience have not changed at all. They're exactly the opposite of the "King of Vents" nonsense, however, and none involve anything that's expensive or experimental. For the non-hospitalized person who knows they're positive there are also recommendations found there that you might want to take into account should you get this bug.
As I pointed out back when we first got the data on vent failure in China the goal for management of this disease in a clinical setting had to be focused on taking every possible measure to avoid using vents as the evidence was that they not only didn't work they might kill you outright. Exactly nothing has transpired in the months since to change my mind on this. You don't have to be a doctor to be able to read a table that shows 95% of the time a given therapy fails, and if the odds are that bad then you must be focused on avoiding the use of said "therapy" as it is likely killing more people than it saves.
As time has gone on we have continued to develop these protocols -- but note that exactly nobody is putting them forward on the "Government's" official pages. You can bet, however, that those places having great success with infected persons not dying are paying attention -- and those which are not, well, they probably are still sticking tubes down people's throats.
After all, that's still very profitable -- isn't it?
Happy Father's Day.
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